Notes

Slide Show

Outline

1	Regional Climate Outlook Dr. Joel O. Paz The University of Georgia Dept. of Biological and Agricultural Engineering Griffin, GA American Peanut Shellers Association Pre-harvest Meeting August 15, 2007 Columbus, GA
2	Outline Current conditions Rainfall deficits Record temperatures El Niño and La Niña Climate Outlook La Niña impact in the SE
3	Departure from Normal Precipitation
4	Georgia: Departure from Normal Precipitation
5	Alabama: Departure from Normal Precipitation
6	Florida: Departure from Normal Precipitation
7	NC & SC: Departure from Normal Precipitation
8	Virginia: Departure from Normal Precipitation
9	Heat Wave
10	Number of Days with Temp > 90F (Georgia)
11	Number of Days with Temp > 90F (Alabama)
12	Drought Map : Georgia
13	Drought Map : Georgia
14	Drought Map : Alabama
15	Drought Map : Alabama
16	Drought Map : Southeast
17	Drought Map : Southeast
18	Is the current drought tied to El Niño / La Niña?
19	Children of the Tropics
20	El Niño
21	La Niña
22	Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (1950-1970)
23	Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (1970-1990)
24	Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (1990-2007)
25	Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (Last 12 months)
26	El Niño/La Niña Forecast Model
27	ENSO Effects on Precipitation
28	ENSO and Hurricane Probabilities
29	Three-Month Outlook : Precipitation Probabilities
30	Can we still get decent peanut yields?
31	Recall 1986
32	GA Peanut Yield (’85 & ’86)
33	AL Peanut Yield (’85 & ’86)
34	FL Peanut Yield (’85 & ’86)
35	Check out the yield database at www.AgClimate.org
36	Summary No relief anytime soon SE Region needs rainfall from tropical storms Possible development of La Niña may impact conditions in the fall & winter >> drought conditions may extend into 2008
37	Links UGA Weather Network: www.georgiaweather.net AgClimate web site: www.agclimate.org NWS Southern Region HQ: www.srh.noaa.gov
38	For more information, please contact :